Resources

Now Comes the Real Danger

September 12, 2001

Some events shatter the order of things — the routines and regularities of our lives that we rely upon for our sense of safety and our sense, most importantly, of who we are and where we are going. Some events change our perceptions forever. The world never looks the same again afterward. Suddenly, the reliable landmarks of life seem strange and distorted — recognizable, yet simultaneously weirdly unrecognizable.

The Virulence of Violence: Small Arms, Many Wars, Large Threat

February 4, 2001

The proliferation of light weapons is seriously impeding political and economic reforms in developing countries from Congo to Colombia, the author argues, and the resulting downward spiral could threaten U.S. national security.

The Environment and Violent Conflict: A Response to Gleditsch’s Critique and Suggestions for Future Research

June 21, 2000
Daniel Schwartz, Tom Deligiannis, and Thomas Homer-Dixon

with Daniel Schwartz and Tom Deligiannis | The environment, population, and conflict thesis remains central to current environment and security debates. During the 1990s, an explosion of scholarship and policy attention was devoted to unraveling the linkages among the three variables.

Resource Scarcity and Innovation: Can Poor Countries Attain Endogenous Growth?

March 1, 1999
Edward Barbier and Thomas Homer-Dixon

Edward Barbier and Thomas Homer-Dixon | Endogenous growth models have revived the debate over the role of technological innovation in economic growth and development. The consensus view is that institutional and policy failures prevent poor countries from generating or using new technological ideas to reap greater economic opportunities. However, this view omits the important contribution of natural-resource degradation and depletion to institutional instability

Environmental Scarcity and Violent Conflict: The Case of Rwanda

September 1, 1996
Valerie Percival and Thomas Homer-Dixon

Valerie Percival and Thomas Homer-Dixon | On April 6, 1994, President Juvenal Habyarimana’s plane exploded in the skies above the Kigali region of Rwanda. Violence gripped the country. Between April and August of 1994, as many as 1 million people were killed and more than 2 million people became refugees.

Environmental Scarcity and Violent Conflict: The Case of Pakistan

April 15, 1996
Peter Gizewski and Thomas Homer-Dixon

Peter Gizewski and Thomas Homer-Dixon | This paper examines the contribution of environmental scarcity to violent conflict in Pakistan. It argues that scarcity is never the sole cause of Pakistan’s social conflict.

Strategies for Studying Causation in Complex Ecological-Political Systems

March 21, 1996

This paper shows that some commonly advocated methodological principles of modern political science are inappropriate for the study of complex ecological-political systems. It also provides conceptual tools for thinking about the causal roles of environmental and demographic factors, and it discusses various strategies for hypothesis and inference testing.

Correspondence: Environment and Security

December 21, 1995
Marc A. Levy and Thomas Homer-Dixon

Professor Marc Levy of Princeton University has published several critiques of recent scholarship on environmental security, including one in International Security. Thomas Homer-Dixon responds to his comments.

The Myth of Global Water Wars

November 9, 1995

At a meeting in Stockholm this past August, Ismail Serageldin, the World Bank’s Vice President for Environmentally Sustainable Development, released a new report on global water issues.

Environmental Scarcity and Violent Conflict: The Case of Gaza

June 2, 1995
Kimberley Kelly and Thomas Homer-Dixon

Kimberley Kelly and Thomas Homer-Dixon | The achievement of limited autonomy for Palestinians in Gaza and Jericho in 1993 engendered hope for peace in the Middle East, yet violence persists. The links between environmental scarcity and conflict are complex, but in Gaza, water scarcity has clearly aggravated socioeconomic conditions.