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I am a professor and author. I use complexity science to examine threats to global security—especially economic instability, environmental stress, ideological polarization, and mass violence—and how people, organizations, and societies can respond to these threats.

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What is really at stake in extremist attacks

January 25th, 2016|Tags: |

We’ve been lucky so far, because the bad guys have usually been stupid. But they probably won’t be stupid forever, so our luck probably won’t last. When it finally runs out, we need to make sure we don’t do the bad guys’ work for them.

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President Trump Will Make Chaos the New Normal

November 24th, 2016|Tags: |

During the election campaign, Donald Trump made the normalization of abnormality a signature political tactic. The more he violated the conventions of U.S. political life, democratic practice and civil discourse, the more he excited his followers.

How Donald Trump Would Reshape America

October 17th, 2016|Tags: |

with Jack Goldstone | As the great nuclear strategist Herman Kahn once said, to survive we must sometimes think the unthinkable. Never has this advice been more apt, because from the moment Donald Trump announced his run for president of the United States he has been transforming the unthinkable into the thinkable.

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New Book 2018

Hope under Threat

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RESEARCH

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