Synchronous Failure: The Emerging Causal Architecture of Global Crisis

2017-09-21T18:29:48-04:00August 28th, 2015|Academic, Conflict, Featured (Academic), Societal Growth and Crisis, Synchronous Failure|

by Thomas Homer-Dixon et al. | Recent global crises reveal an emerging pattern of causation that could increasingly characterize the birth and progress of future global crises. A conceptual framework identifies this pattern’s deep causes, intermediate processes, and ultimate outcomes.

The Conceptual Structure of Social Disputes: Cognitive-Affective Maps as a Tool for Conflict Analysis and Resolution

2017-08-02T06:40:57-04:00August 6th, 2014|Academic, Conflict, Conflict and Conflict Resolution, Featured (Academic)|

Thomas Homer-Dixon et al. | We describe and illustrate a new method of graphically diagramming disputants’ points of view called cognitive-affective mapping. The products of this method—cognitive-affective maps (CAMs)—represent an individual’s concepts and beliefs about a particular subject, such as another individual or group or an issue in dispute.

Detecting and Coping with Disruptive Shocks in Arctic Marine Systems: A Resilience Approach to Place and People

2017-09-11T00:22:46-04:00January 22nd, 2012|Academic, Ecology and Sustainability, Environment and Energy, Featured (Academic)|

Eddy Carmack, Thomas Homer-Dixon, et al. | It seems inevitable that the ongoing and rapid changes in the physical environment of the marine Arctic will push components of the region’s existing social-ecological systems—small and large—beyond tipping points and into new regimes.

Tipping Toward Sustainability: Emerging Pathways of Transformation

2017-09-11T00:26:11-04:00October 6th, 2011|Academic, Ecology and Sustainability, Environment and Energy|

Frances Westley, Thomas Homer-Dixon, et al. | This article explores the links between agency, institutions, and innovation in navigating shifts and largescale transformations toward global sustainability. Our central question is whether social and technical innovations can reverse the trends that are challenging critical thresholds and creating tipping points in the earth system, and if not, what conditions are necessary to escape the current lock-in.