WHAT’S NEW
How the United States survived an assult on its democracy – at least for now
The insurrection at the U.S. Capitol failed to make an autocrat out of Donald Trump, thanks in part to the public shields erected against his dangerous campaign of baseless election-fraud claims.
Interview with Tom Rand
Watch my video interview with Tom Rand from MaRS Impact Week (32:34)
The Roubini Cascade: Are we heading for a Greater Depression?
with Michael Lawrence | This research involves a system map of Nouriel Roubini’s argument that the world is heading into a Greater Depression.
There May Yet Be Hope
by Arno Kopecky | A review of Commanding Hope by the Literary Review of Canada
Crisis analysis: How much damage can Trump do? (A lot)
Trump’s performance so far suggests his administration will lurch from crisis to crisis. To make some sense of these outcomes, I’ve charted the most likely crisis types and their causes.
Pandemic Log
A running commentary on the unfolding pandemic
WHAT’S NEW
How the United States survived an assult on its democracy – at least for now
The insurrection at the U.S. Capitol failed to make an autocrat out of Donald Trump, thanks in part to the public shields erected against his dangerous campaign of baseless election-fraud claims.
Interview with Tom Rand
Watch my video interview with Tom Rand from MaRS Impact Week (32:34)
The Roubini Cascade: Are we heading for a Greater Depression?
with Michael Lawrence | This research involves a system map of Nouriel Roubini’s argument that the world is heading into a Greater Depression.
RESEARCH
I’m the Founder and Director of The Cascade Institute, a Canadian research centre addressing the full range of humanity’s converging environmental, economic, political, technological, and health crises. Using advanced methods for mapping and modeling complex global systems, Institute researchers identify and help implement high-leverage interventions that could rapidly shift humanity’s course towards fair and sustainable prosperity.
Synchronous Failure: The Emerging Causal Architecture of Global Crisis
by Thomas Homer-Dixon et al. | Recent global crises reveal an emerging pattern of causation that could increasingly characterize the birth and progress of future global crises. A conceptual framework identifies this pattern’s deep causes, intermediate processes, and ultimate outcomes.
The Conceptual Structure of Social Disputes: Cognitive-Affective Maps as a Tool for Conflict Analysis and Resolution
Thomas Homer-Dixon et al. | We describe and illustrate a new method of graphically diagramming disputants’ points of view called cognitive-affective mapping. The products of this method—cognitive-affective maps (CAMs)—represent an individual’s concepts and beliefs about a particular subject, such as another individual or group or an issue in dispute.
