Row concave Shape Decorative svg added to bottom

Resources

Would you die for Canada? Polling suggests Canadians are more willing to fight for their country

July 1, 2025
Thomas Homer-Dixon and Toby Shannan

A poll of over 2,000 Canadians showed 72 percent of respondents willing to take some action in the case of the country facing military attacks.

If you want peace, prepare for war – an ancient lesson Canada must remember

March 21, 2025

Thomas Homer-Dixon warns Canadians to prepare for the possibility that Mr. Trump may make demands for territory, backed by the threat of military force.

Trump redux: Why the returning president is likely to become one of history’s most consequential figures

January 17, 2025

Thomas Homer-Dixon warns that as “reconfigurer-in-chief,” Donald Trump will be, in philosopher Georg Hegel’s terms, a world-historical figure.

Impact 2024: How Donald Trump’s Reelection Could Amplify Global Inter-systemic Risk

October 4, 2024
Thomas Homer-Dixon, Michael Lawrence, Megan Shipman, Luke Kemp

The report precisely assesses how a second Trump administration could supercharge global economic, geopolitical, environmental, and pandemic risks and how those risks could then combine to escalate the world’s already severe polycrisis.

Two things the West must do to lower the probability that Putin will pull the nuclear trigger

March 10, 2022

This time, ‘Mutual Assured Destruction’ might not work. The Russian leader has already shown extreme irrationality in his calamitous choice to start this war.

States of Emergency

States of Emergency

December 31, 2021

By 2025, American democracy could collapse, causing extreme domestic political instability, including widespread civil violence. By 2030, if not sooner, the country could be governed by a right-wing dictatorship. How should Canada prepare?

How the United States survived an assault on its democracy – at least for now

January 15, 2021
John Ibbitson and Thomas Homer-Dixon

The insurrection at the U.S. Capitol failed to make an autocrat out of Donald Trump, thanks in part to the public shields erected against his dangerous campaign of baseless election-fraud claims.

B.C.’s green shift is a window to the world

August 12, 2017

In May’s provincial election, the Green Party won its first multiple-seat breakthrough in North America, and by a fluke of electoral arithmetic, it now holds the balance of power in the legislature. Today, B.C.’s citizens are exploring uncharted political territory of potentially huge significance to people outside the province.

Trump needs a war

June 28, 2017

Donald Trump needs a war. He needs a war to fire Robert Mueller. Special counsel Mueller oversees an aggressively expanding investigation of Russia’s efforts to influence the 2016 presidential election…

Who’s the chicken in Trump’s high-stakes game?

April 28, 2017

U.S. President Donald Trump loves to play chicken – the game of chicken, that is. And while his predilection toward the game is bad enough, it also turns out that he plays it badly, and that’s truly scary.