Resources

Impact 2024: How Donald Trump’s Reelection Could Amplify Global Inter-systemic Risk

October 4, 2024
Thomas Homer-Dixon, Michael Lawrence, Megan Shipman, Luke Kemp

The report precisely assesses how a second Trump administration could supercharge global economic, geopolitical, environmental, and pandemic risks and how those risks could then combine to escalate the world’s already severe polycrisis.

Why so much is going wrong at the same time

October 18, 2023

Lots of things are going wrong. Does that make it a polycrisis?

Earth knots

Global polycrisis: The causal mechanisms of crisis entanglement

June 18, 2023
Michael Lawrence, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Scott Janzwood, Johan Rockström, Ortwin Renn, and Jonathan F. Donges

Multiple global crises have recently linked together in ways that are significant in scope, devastating in effect, but poorly understood.

Hope in the Polycrisis

June 12, 2023
Thomas Homer-Dixon, Philip Steenkamp

Dr. Thomas Homer-Dixon sits down for a talk with Royal Roads University President Philip Steenkamp to explore the complex challenges facing humanity and innovative ideas about how we might solve them.

Earth’s Polycrisis Is No Mere Illusion

February 18, 2023
Thomas Homer-Dixon, Michael Lawrence, and Scott Janzwood

The backlash against the “polycrisis” neologism is well under way. But the polycrisis idea can motivate urgent scientific investigation into the architecture of global crisis interaction.

When Crises Collide image from New York Times

What Happens When a Cascade of Crises Collide?

November 13, 2022
Thomas Homer-Dixon and Johan Rockström

Humanity faces a complex knot of seemingly distinct but entangled crises that are causing damage greater than the sum of their individual harms.

States of Emergency

States of Emergency

December 31, 2021

By 2025, American democracy could collapse, causing extreme domestic political instability, including widespread civil violence. By 2030, if not sooner, the country could be governed by a right-wing dictatorship. How should Canada prepare?

Coronavirus as portrayed by the CDC

Pandemic Log

September 10, 2020

A running commentary on the unfolding pandemic

Coronavirus will change the world. It might also lead to a better future

March 6, 2020

What’s happening in response to the worldwide spread of the SARS CoV-2 virus (and COVID-19, the disease it causes) is a vivid example of a global ‘tipping event,’ in which multiple social systems flip simultaneously to a distinctly new state.

How Western Civilization Could Collapse

April 18, 2017

by Rachel Nuwer | The political economist Benjamin Friedman once compared modern Western society to a stable bicycle whose wheels are kept spinning by economic growth. Should that forward-propelling motion slow or cease, the pillars that define our society would begin to teeter.

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