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Strategies for Studying Causation in Complex Ecological-Political Systems

March 21, 1996

This paper shows that some commonly advocated methodological principles of modern political science are inappropriate for the study of complex ecological-political systems. It also provides conceptual tools for thinking about the causal roles of environmental and demographic factors, and it discusses various strategies for hypothesis and inference testing.

Strategies for Studying Causation in Complex Ecological Political Systems

March 21, 1996

FULL ARTICLE

Correspondence: Environment and Security

December 21, 1995
Marc A. Levy and Thomas Homer-Dixon

Professor Marc Levy of Princeton University has published several critiques of recent scholarship on environmental security, including one in International Security. Thomas Homer-Dixon responds to his comments.

The Myth of Global Water Wars

November 9, 1995

At a meeting in Stockholm this past August, Ismail Serageldin, the World Bank’s Vice President for Environmentally Sustainable Development, released a new report on global water issues.

China’s Challenge

September 4, 1995

Walking along Shanghai’s waterfront late on a misty June evening, it’s easy to be intoxicated by China.

The Ingenuity Gap: Can Poor Countries Adapt to Resource Scarcity?

September 1, 1995

As human population and material consumption increase in coming decades, scarcities of natural resources will increase in some regions. Will societies be able to adapt?

The Ingenuity Gap: Can Poor Countries Adapt to Resource Scarcity?

September 1, 1995

FULL ARTICLE

Environmental Scarcity and Violent Conflict: The Case of Gaza

June 2, 1995
Kimberley Kelly and Thomas Homer-Dixon

Kimberley Kelly and Thomas Homer-Dixon | The achievement of limited autonomy for Palestinians in Gaza and Jericho in 1993 engendered hope for peace in the Middle East, yet violence persists. The links between environmental scarcity and conflict are complex, but in Gaza, water scarcity has clearly aggravated socioeconomic conditions.

Environmental Scarcity and Violent Conflict: The Case of Chiapas, Mexico

June 1, 1995
Philip Howard and Thomas Homer-Dixon

Philip Howard and Thomas Homer-Dixon | This paper identifies the different forms of environmental scarcities that affect the people of Chiapas, Mexico. In recent years, these scarcities have become acute.

Urban Growth and Violence: Will the Future Resemble the Past?

June 1, 1995
Peter Gizewski and Thomas Homer-Dixon

Summary Many social, economic, and political problems have accompanied urban growth in the developing world. Will further growth result in violent behavior as expectations of…

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