The Myth of Global Water Wars
At a meeting in Stockholm this past August, Ismail Serageldin, the World Bank’s Vice President for Environmentally Sustainable Development, released a new report on global water issues.
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China’s Challenge
Walking along Shanghai’s waterfront late on a misty June evening, it’s easy to be intoxicated by China.
The Ingenuity Gap: Can Poor Countries Adapt to Resource Scarcity?
As human population and material consumption increase in coming decades, scarcities of natural resources will increase in some regions. Will societies be able to adapt?
Environmental Scarcity and Violent Conflict: The Case of Gaza
Kimberley Kelly and Thomas Homer-Dixon | The achievement of limited autonomy for Palestinians in Gaza and Jericho in 1993 engendered hope for peace in the Middle East, yet violence persists. The links between environmental scarcity and conflict are complex, but in Gaza, water scarcity has clearly aggravated socioeconomic conditions.
Urban Growth and Violence: Will the Future Resemble the Past?
Summary Many social, economic, and political problems have accompanied urban growth in the developing world. Will further growth result in
Environmental Scarcities and Violent Conflict: Evidence from Cases
Within the next fifty years, the planet’s human population will probably pass nine billion, and global economic output may quintuple. Largely as a result, scarcities of renewable resources will increase sharply. The total area of high-quality agricultural land will drop, as will the extent of forests and the number of species they sustain.
Is Anarchy Coming? A Response to the Optimists
What is the human prospect? Will our future be marked by rising prosperity, health and happiness for all? Or will population growth, environmental crisis and ethno-nationalism drive large parts of the world into violence and anarchy?
Environmental Change and Violent Conflict
Growing scarcities of renewable resources can contribute to social instability and civil strife.
Destruction and Death: As Resources Are Wasted, Mass Violence Will Rise
As the Clinton administration develops foreign and defense policies for a quickly changing world, it should consider the long-term links between the planet’s ecological balance and mass violence.