ACADEMIC
complexity science
Global polycrisis: The causal mechanisms of crisis entanglement
with Michael Lawrence, Scott Janzwood, Johan Rockström, Ortwin Renn, and Jonathan F. Donges | Multiple global crises have recently linked together in ways that are significant in scope, devastating in effect, but poorly understood.
Earth’s Polycrisis Is No Mere Illusion
with Michael Lawrence and Scott Janzwood | The backlash against the "polycrisis" neologism is well under way. But the polycrisis idea can motivate urgent scientific investigation into the architecture of global crisis interaction.
A Complex Systems Approach to the Study of Ideology: Cognitive-affective Structures and the Dynamics of Belief Change
Thomas Homer-Dixon et al. | We propose a complex systems approach to the study of political belief systems, to overcome some of the fragmentation in the current scholarship on ideology.
Complexity Science
Complexity science isn’t a fad. I will offer a brief survey of some core concepts and ideas, and I will make a strong case that . . . they can help us develop new strategies for generating solutions and prospering in this world.
The Newest Science: Replacing Physics, Ecology Will Be the Master Science of the 21st Century
Physics was the master science of the 20th century. Ecology will be the master science of the 21st century.
Strategies for Studying Causation in Complex Ecological-Political Systems
This paper shows that some commonly advocated methodological principles of modern political science are inappropriate for the study of complex ecological-political systems. It also provides conceptual tools for thinking about the causal roles of environmental and demographic factors, and it discusses various strategies for hypothesis and inference testing.
