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I am a professor and author. I use complexity science to examine threats to global security—especially economic instability, environmental stress, ideological polarization, and mass violence—and how people, organizations, and societies can respond to these threats.

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President Trump Will Make Chaos the New Normal

November 24th, 2016|Tags: |

During the election campaign, Donald Trump made the normalization of abnormality a signature political tactic. The more he violated the conventions of U.S. political life, democratic practice and civil discourse, the more he excited his followers.

How Donald Trump Would Reshape America

October 17th, 2016|Tags: |

As the great nuclear strategist Herman Kahn once said, to survive we must sometimes think the unthinkable. Never has this advice been more apt, because from the moment Donald Trump announced his run for president of the United States he has been transforming the unthinkable into the thinkable.

What is really at stake in extremist attacks

January 25th, 2016|Tags: |

We’ve been lucky so far, because the bad guys have usually been stupid. But they probably won’t be stupid forever, so our luck probably won’t last. When it finally runs out, we need to make sure we don’t do the bad guys’ work for them.

Don’t Peddle Climate Fantasies

December 14th, 2015|Tags: |

The French have pulled a rabbit out of the climate hat in Paris. It’s a rather incomplete rabbit, because it’s missing bits and pieces – an ear here, a foot there. But it has a heartbeat, and it’s recognizable as a rabbit all the same.

The False Promise of Climate Adaptation

December 7th, 2015|Tags: |

Climate skeptics may not be out for the count, but they’re definitely on the ropes. As Earth’s atmosphere warms and severe droughts, storms, and wildfires sweep the planet, those arguing that climate change isn’t a grave danger have had to bob and weave to stay on their feet.

Harper’s Biggest Election Blunder

October 16th, 2015|Tags: |

By pressing the niqab issue, the Conservatives made an enormous strategic mistake. In fact, it was probably the single biggest blunder by any political party in this extraordinary election season.

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World Government Summit

February 12th, 2017|Tags: |

This February 2017, Thomas Homer-Dixon spoke at the World Government Summit on "Climate Change and Food Supply."

Canada Must not Give Up the Fight on Climate Change

January 2nd, 2017|Tags: |

Those of us concerned about climate change generally inhabit an old-fashioned reality-based world. Scientific research and evidence drive our concern. Although we wish the climate problem would vanish, that motivation doesn’t override what science tells us.

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Hope under Threat

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